Strategic scenarios: challenges to create the future.The global disruption and the changing landscape Strategy = Innovation 7 The cumulative effects of these changes can be described as a “silent industrial revolution”, as Prahalad and Hamel called it.2 The phenomenon of disintermediation and disintegration is perceived in various sectors as electronic, consumer goods, or retail. that transforms industries’ value chains – reconfigures entry barriers, changes cost-profit structures and opens space for new competitors and new products to emerge.
The disintegration or breakdown of vertically integrated structures reconfigures the market creating new business opportunities. Silent transformations begin with the emergence of a global economy with strong integration between capital flows, production, consumer markets and governments. The link between Economies is a large electronic communication network with a global reach, as it connects people and things (internet of things) with thinking machines and robots that will soon be able to compete with Man in his form of intelligence.
The other transformation
that is already underway is the migration of Power from the West to the East, from rich countries to emerging countries, from “corporate” to family businesses, creating a new political and economic balance. China, in particular, is taking the center of gravity of the world economy. This change is accompanied by the growth of population, cities, resource consumption, in addition to the emergence of a new and revolutionary set of biological, biochemical,
genetic and material sciences technologies that will interfere with the molecules of all existing materials. “We are already human machines, if you think about it. The iPhone I carry in my pocket is non-biological intelligence and makes me smarter than I was ten years ago, because I can access all human knowledge by pressing a few keys. One day, an iPhone will be inside our brain, because it will be the size of a globule – some Parkinson’s patients already have neuroimplants. ”3 2
Hamel, G. Prahalad, CK Competing for the future. Rio de Janeiro: Editora Campus, 2005. 3 Gomes, AS Two futures. São Paulo: HSM Management, September / October 2013, p.62. 8 Study VII • Strategic scenarios: challenges to create the future. Ram Charam4 cites three major drivers of change: 1) the global financial system with the crucial role of China (Chinese trade surplus channeling capital directly to Asian companies); 2) competition between countries; and 3) digitization / mobility as the breaking forces.
By accessing capital
, in fact, we can understand that what is happening is a change in the focus of companies. Move from short-termism to a more parsimonious long-term view. Digitization reduces costs and shortens cycles, allowing companies to reach large volumes and be able to generate money quickly without major investments. As a result of this process, the relations between companies and consumers are changing and decreasing the production chains. This was the case for Dell Inc. in the early 1990s.
- The strength of commoditization is also in check, as technology already allows for mass customization. Smaller and smaller batches with individualized specifications. With 3D printers, machines can be reconfigured to
- produce specific products on the production line itself. The products are much closer physically to consumers. These forces trigger
- waves of transformation, changing the demographic profile and creating pressure on resources and prices. “Like it or not, you have no choice but to figure out how to position your business in the face of change.
This is a new century, and a new game is being played on an uneven field. ” 5 Are companies prepared for this rupture? Have companies realized why old ways of thinking about strategy fail in this environment? Or why is it necessary to abandon old beliefs and bet on bolder movements that bring longevity? PRESENTATION The phenomenon of “secularization” – a tendency to live life in a horizontal projection, putting aside or neutralizing, even though the religious discourse is accentuated,
the dimension of the transcendent – has been involving, without exception, all the baptized, in such a measure that those who, by divine mandate, have the mission of guiding the Church, were led to take a decisive position. One of these effects, certainly the most relevant, is the distance from religious practice, with a rejection – sometimes conscious, other times induced by habitual tendencies subliminally
Imposed by a culture
determined to de-Christianize civil society – either from the depositum fidei , as well as authentically. taught by the Catholic Magisterium, whether from the authority and the role of the sacred ministers, whom Christ called to Himself ( Mk 3: 13-19) in order to cooperate in his plan of salvation and to lead men to the obedience of faith ( Eclo 48, 10; Heb 4 : 11-11; Catechism of the Catholic Church , n. 144ss.).
Hence the particular zeal with which Pope Benedict XVI, from the first moments of his pontificate, takes pains to re-present Catholic doctrine as an organic systematization of wisdom authentically revealed by God and which in Christ has its fulfillment, a doctrine whose value verity is available to the intelligence of all men ( Catechism of the Catholic Church , n. 27ff.).
- However, if it is true that the Church exists, lives and is perpetuated in time through the evangelizing mission (Cf. Vatican Council II, Decree Ad gentes ), it seems clear that, for this
- very reason, the most damaging effect caused by the spread of secularization it is the crisis of the priestly ministry, a crisis that, on the one
- hand, manifests itself in a significant reduction of vocations, and, on the other, in the propagation of a spirit of true and proper loss of the supernatural sense of the priestly mission, forms of inauthenticity that,
in the more extreme degenerations have often given rise to situations of severe suffering. For this reason, reflection on the future of the priesthood coincides with the future of evangelization and, therefore, of the Church itself. In 1992, Blessed John Paul II, with the post-synodal Apostolic Exhortation Pastores dabo vobis , had already highlighted all that we are saying, and, successively,
he had impelled to seriously consider the problem, through a series of interventions and initiatives. Among the latter, there is undoubtedly a special reminder of the Year of Priests 2009-2010 , which was significantly celebrated at the same time as the 150th anniversary of the death of St. John Maria Vianney, patron of pastors and priests with healing of souls.